Victoria has recorded 41 new cases of coronavirus and nine additional deaths in the past 24 hours.
It is the lowest daily total since June 27, when the same number of cases was recorded.
On Sunday, the state government announced the stage four lockdown would be extended by two weeks, with more significant restrictions to be eased in late October.
Jodie McVernon, the director of epidemiology at Melbourne's Doherty Institute, says the state government provided insufficient detail of the modelling underpinning its decision to extend the stage four lockdown.
The Andrews government commissioned Melbourne University and the University of New England to model 1000 different scenarios.
That modelling found if restrictions were eased when the average number of new daily cases was above 25 for a fortnight, there was a 60 per cent chance of returning to lockdown before Christmas.
Professor McVernon said the case thresholds for reopening in later stages, which effectively require zero cases for a fortnight, would be difficult to achieve and were not being achieved in NSW where restrictions were much looser.
"It does sound like an elimination strategy, doesn't it," she said on ABC Radio National.
"There was very little detail of the modelling that was presented yesterday and I think it was probably disappointing that we didn't hear more of a description of what the locations of infections were … and how the active case numbers were being mapped to the triggers and thresholds.
"I do think it's disappointing that there's not more nuance provided around the plan and the details of the modelling are really quite scant."
Professor McVernon said the government needed to demonstrate how the improvements it claimed it had made - to contact tracing and infection control in healthcare settings - were factored into the roadmap out of lockdown.
More to come
Paul is a reporter for The Age.
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2020-09-06 22:48:00Z
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