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Illegal Melbourne brothels busted after more than a dozen fines issued for breaching health orders
By Paul Sakkal
Police have busted two allegedly illegal brothels in Melbourne’s south-east after 14 people were fined for breaching public health directives for being at the premises last week.
A 35-year-old woman and a 41-year-old man were arrested at properties in Ormond and Clayton last Friday morning.
Warrants were executed as part of an investigation into alleged breaches of the Sex Work Act.
Three women were located at the Ormond property, while two women were found at the Clayton location, hiding in cupboards.
Police handed out 14 fines, each worth $1652, to people found at the properties last week.
The arrested pair have been released from custody and will likely be charged on summons for allegedly operating unlicensed brothels.
How to interpret the modelling on Victoria's projected coronavirus case numbers
Speaking of that state government modelling, here's a break down of Victoria's 14-day average from our data journalist and my fellow blogger Craig Butt.
It's the 14-day average that's crucial to easing restrictions.
Premier Daniel Andrews said if restrictions were eased when the 14-day average dropped to five, there was a 3 per cent chance of case numbers increasing to the point that the state would have to go back into lockdown.
The first thing to note on the graph above is the 14-day average, which shows up as a blue line. It peaked at 505 on August 8 (that is to say, there were 505 cases a day on average in the two weeks to August 8) and has been steadily declining ever since as the lockdown measures have driven down the spread of the virus.
At the moment, the 14-day average is 101, and will probably drop into double-digit figures on Monday.
That red dot is the modelling's estimate of where case numbers will likely be on the Friday after next. Their analysis suggests that the state should hit a 14-day average of around 63 cases on September 18.
From October 26, if the 14-day average has dropped below five, the curfew will end, there will be no restrictions on leaving home, public gatherings outside will increase to 10, outdoor dining will reopen at cafes and restaurants.
Victoria's Chief Health Officer Brett Sutton said the target of a 14-day average of five cases per day by that date, and none of those cases being from unknown transmission sources, was achievable.
State government modelling 'scant', says Doherty Institute professor
By Paul Sakkal
Jodie McVernon, the director of epidemiology at Melbourne's Doherty Institute, says the state government provided insufficient detail of the modelling underpinning its decision to extend Melbourne's stage four lockdown.
The Andrews government commissioned Melbourne University and the University of New England to model 1000 different scenarios. It found that if restrictions were eased when the average number of new daily cases was above 25 for a fortnight, there was a 60 per cent chance of returning to a harsh lockdown before Christmas.
Professor Jodie McVernon.Credit:Alex Ellinghausen
Professor McVernon said the case thresholds for reopening in later stages, which effectively require zero cases for a fortnight, would be difficult to achieve and were not being achieved in NSW where restrictions were much looser.
“It does sound like an elimination strategy, doesn't it,” she told Radio National this morning.
“There was very little detail of the modelling that was presented yesterday and I think it was probably disappointing that we didn't hear more of a description of what the locations of infections were … and how the active case numbers were being mapped to the triggers and thresholds.
“I do think it's disappointing that there's not more nuance provided around the plan and the details of the modelling are really quite scant.”
Professor McVernon said the Andrews government needed to demonstrate how the improvements it claimed it had made – to contact tracing and infection control in healthcare settings – were factored into the road map out of lockdown.
Border closures like 'having five different countries', says Joyce
By Mary Ward
Former deputy prime minister Barnaby Joyce has continued his criticism of state border closures, telling Sunrise this morning hard borders are like "having five different countries" and blaming "parochialism and populism" for the policies.
"This all has to do with elections of Annastacia Palaszczuk," Mr Joyce told the breakfast program.
"Also Mark McGowan, [although] Western Australia was always its own country."
Nationals MP Barnaby Joyce says WA is 'always its own country'.Credit:Alex Ellinghausen
Mr Joyce added that he believed the closures were not constitutional.
"It's overreach, it's causing massive damage ... we have [five] compasses pointing in all different directions and a ship trying to be steered during an economic crisis."
Addressing former prime minister Tony Abbott's comments last week that Australia needed to ask "uncomfortable questions" about how many deaths it is prepared to live with, Mr Joyce said he understood where his colleague was coming from.
"Tony Abbott was torn to shreds but he is seeing something that is the truth that you can't completely shut down an economy," he said, adding that he believed Victoria's road map to recovery was "going to help nobody if they only have bits and pieces of the economy".
Hopes of Christmas border reopening in Queensland rise
In Queensland, the state's Chief Health Officer has expressed confidence about reopening the southern border before Christmas.
The state is tipped to go further into debt when Treasurer Cameron Dick hands down a mini-budget on Monday as it tries to emerge from the COVID-19 pandemic, with some heaping blame on continued border closures for part of the economic impact.
Hello sunshine ...Credit:Tourism and Events Queensland
Dr Jeannette Young wants NSW and Victoria to record 28 days without community transmission before opening the border, but would also welcome a national hotspot definition, which is now being worked on with her counterparts across the country.
On Sunday, Dr Young told reporters NSW and Victoria were doing a "marvellous" job of tracing confirmed cases to reduce the number of infections from unknown sources.
"I'm confident that with all that work, we should, I hope, be able to open our borders for Christmas," Dr Young said. "We're doing everything we can to assist those two states and they are doing a marvellous job, they really are."
Dr Jeannette Young says she hopes Queensland's border can reopen in time for Christmas.
It's much welcome news for this former Queenslander who would love to spend Christmas with her family.
Mystery COVID-19 cases emerge as Sydney CBD cluster linked to funerals
Looking to NSW now, where the Kincoppal Rose Bay School of the Sacred Heart is closed today after two year 7 students tested positive for the virus.
The students are linked to the Sydney CBD cluster, taking the outbreak to 64 cases. NSW Health's latest COVID-19 surveillance report revealed the CBD cluster has its roots in the Bankstown funerals cluster first detected weeks ago.
Two mystery coronavirus infections in a northern Sydney man and a western Sydney child were among the 10 new cases reported yesterday.
Six of the new cases reported on Sunday were locally acquired, including the two with no known links to confirmed cases or clusters: the man, who is in his 40s, and a student at Lidcombe Public School.
What's allowed and what's not in Melbourne, regional Victoria?
Here are the graphics I mentioned, which clearly outline what Melburnians will be allowed to do from September 13 onwards, depending on COVID-19 case figures.
You can find a great summary of the rules, here. And my colleague Carolyn Webb has answered some of your frequently asked questions about what you can and can't do, here.
Victoria's five steps out of lockdown
I'll share some more detail in graphics shortly, but let's start with an outline of dates, case numbers and steps for metropolitan Melbourne. Regional Victoria will skip the first step and move straight to the second step from September 13, which you can read more about, here.
First Step
When: Commences 11.59pm on September 13.
What: The biggest changes will be that people living alone or who are single parents with children under 18 can nominate one visitor to their homes. The general exercise time limit will extend to two hours.
Second Step
When: The later of either September 28 or when Metro Melbourne reaches an average daily case rate of 30-50 cases over the previous 14 days.
What: Pools will reopen, outdoor religious gatherings will be allowed for five people plus one faith leader, gatherings of five people from two households will be permitted, schools will begin a staged return for prep-year two and senior school/special schools, childcare will reopen, and some workplaces will return to work.
Under stage four restrictions Melburnians must wear masks while out and about, but strenuous exercise is exempt.Credit:Getty
Third Step
When: The later of either October 26 or when Metro Melbourne reaches an average daily case rate of fewer than 5 cases statewide over the previous 14 days and there are fewer than 5 cases with an unknown source statewide in the last 14 days.
What: The curfew will no longer apply, there will be no restrictions on leaving home, public gatherings outside will increase to ten, five visitors from a nominated home will be permitted, all schoolchildren will begin a phased return, retail and hairdressing will reopen, hospitality will resume outdoor dining and non-contact outdoor sport will return.
Last Step
When: From November 23 subject to public health advice and if the state records no new cases for 14 days.
What: Gatherings outside will increase to 50, all retail will return, hospitality will resume indoor dining for 20 people with a total venue cap of 50, real estate will resume, sports restrictions will ease and weddings/funerals will return for up to 50 people.
COVID-Normal
When: Victoria reaches no new cases for 28 days, no active cases and no "outbreaks of concern in other states and territories".
What: This will see most restrictions dropped and most people return to work. No date has been set for this stage.
What's happening in Victoria?
Global cases near 27 million
The number of confirmed coronavirus cases around the globe has passed 26.9 million, while the death toll has exceeded 880,000, according to the Johns Hopkins University tally.
On a positive note, more than 18 million people have recovered from the virus. You can explore our data centre (below) for the latest figures across the world:
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2020-09-06 21:08:00Z
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